Open Access

Modeling Sea Level Rise in Adana Province According to Climate Change Scenarios Using Remote Sensing–Geographic Information Systems Approach, Assessment of Potential Agricultural Impacts

1 Çukurova Üniversitesi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Adana
2 Çukurova Üniversitesi, Kozan Meslek Yüksek Okulu, Bitkisel ve Hayvansal Üretim Bölümü, Adana

Abstract

This study investigates the potential impacts of climate change driven by increased carbon dioxide emissions resulting from the intensified use of fossil fuels since the Industrial Revolution and the consequent rise in sea levels on agricultural production in Adana Province, Turkey. Sea level rise is among the most significant outcomes of the global climate crisis, posing particular threats to low-lying coastal regions. Surrounded by seas on three sides, Turkey is highly vulnerable to these impacts. Owing to its coastal position and low average elevation (approximately 23 m in the city center and 250 m across the province), Adana is among the regions expected to be most affected by sea level fluctuations. In this study, the spatial effects of potential sea level changes were analyzed and mapped using Remote Sensing (RS) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) techniques. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) high-emission scenario, by the year 2500, over 1,000 km² of Adana’s coastline equivalent to 7.34% of its total area could be submerged. As these areas represent fertile agricultural lands, rising sea levels are expected to adversely affect agricultural productivity. Implementing precautionary measures today may help mitigate future risks.

Keywords

How to Cite

KEZER, A., & ZAİMOĞLU ONAT, B. (2025). Modeling Sea Level Rise in Adana Province According to Climate Change Scenarios Using Remote Sensing–Geographic Information Systems Approach, Assessment of Potential Agricultural Impacts. ISPEC Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 9(4), 1151–1165. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17906771

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